- WELCOME
- Contents and Introduction
- I.A. Quantitative Scenarios of Global Development
- I.B. Narrative Scenarios of Global Development
- II.A.1 Limits to Growth: Models and Theory
- II.A.2 Limits to Growth: Biogeophysical Limits
- II.A.3 Limits to Growth: Technological Change
- II.A.4 Limits to Growth: Complexity
- II.B.1 Economic Inequality: The Data
- II.B.2 Economic Inequality: Inequality and Economic Growth
- II.B.3 Economic Inequality: Reducing Economic Inequality
- II.B.4 Economic Inequality: Public Opinion
- II.C.1 Green Sustainability: Necessity vs Choice
- II.C.2 Green Sustainability: Public Opinion
- II.C.3 Green Sustainability: Voluntary Simplicity
- II.D.1 Globalization and Governance: Data and Interpretation
- II.D.2 Globalization and Governance: Institutions and Policy
- II.D.3 Globalization and Governance: Nation-states, Norms and Values
- II.E.1 Technological Change: Projected Trajectories
- II.E.2 Technological Change: Human Genetic Modification
- II.E.3 Technological Change: Public Opinion
- III. Concluding Comments
- Appendices
- Bibliography; Acknowledgments
WELCOME
This website displays preliminary results of an extended exercise that constructs and assesses scenarios of the human future grounded in values of economic justice, ecological integrity, accountable global governance and appropriate technology.
The exercise is a work-in-progress. Discussions are underway about ways in which it might be improved upon, about possibilities for collaborative scenario exercises, and about ways in which the results of such efforts might be made accessible to wider audiences.
This website is a temporary beta site. A more versatile site that will allow users to manipuate scenario variables is under consideration.
Comments and queries welcome. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspects of this initiative.
Richard Hayes
Visiting Scholar, College of Natural Resources/Energy and Resources Group
310 Barrows Hall, University of California
Berkeley, CA 94720-3050
email: rhayes329@berkeley.edu
mobile: 1-510-332-1769
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How to use this website
The sections of the exercise are listed in the column to the left. Clicking on a section title will bring up a window that contains the text of the section. Click on the feature "fullscreen" at the top of the window to see the full text. Then go to the list of display options shown in the lower left corner and choose "scroll," "slide" or "book," and zoom in or out, until you have the display that works best for you. Click through the pages sequentially using the arrow buttons at the bottom center of the screen. You can skip ahead or back by clicking on tile mode and choosing the page you want to go to. To go to a new section, exit fullscreen and repeat the procedure.
The exercise is a work-in-progress. Discussions are underway about ways in which it might be improved upon, about possibilities for collaborative scenario exercises, and about ways in which the results of such efforts might be made accessible to wider audiences.
This website is a temporary beta site. A more versatile site that will allow users to manipuate scenario variables is under consideration.
Comments and queries welcome. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspects of this initiative.
Richard Hayes
Visiting Scholar, College of Natural Resources/Energy and Resources Group
310 Barrows Hall, University of California
Berkeley, CA 94720-3050
email: rhayes329@berkeley.edu
mobile: 1-510-332-1769
-------------
How to use this website
The sections of the exercise are listed in the column to the left. Clicking on a section title will bring up a window that contains the text of the section. Click on the feature "fullscreen" at the top of the window to see the full text. Then go to the list of display options shown in the lower left corner and choose "scroll," "slide" or "book," and zoom in or out, until you have the display that works best for you. Click through the pages sequentially using the arrow buttons at the bottom center of the screen. You can skip ahead or back by clicking on tile mode and choosing the page you want to go to. To go to a new section, exit fullscreen and repeat the procedure.
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